Top.Mail.Ru
empty
 
 
17.01.2025 12:35 PM
USD/JPY: Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The Japanese yen is declining, giving up part of its strong weekly gains against the US dollar. The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas, along with a positive sentiment in equity markets, is undermining demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including the yen.

However, a significant drop in the yen seems unlikely amid growing expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again next week. These hopes have been fueled by comments from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda and Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino. Additionally, softer inflation in the United States is expected to lead to further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, limiting dollar buyers and capping USD/JPY's upward movement.

Today, traders should focus on the release of US housing market data, which could provide fresh impetus for the USD/JPY pair.

A sustained break and acceptance below the psychological level of 155.00 could drag USD/JPY toward the 154.60 area or the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Further selling could act as a fresh trigger for bears, making spot prices vulnerable to an accelerated decline toward the round level of 154.00, with the next key support at 153.30.

This image is no longer relevant

On the other hand, any recovery attempt will face strong resistance at the round level of 156.00, followed by the horizontal zone at 156.40. The next significant hurdle lies around 156.70, above which USD/JPY might attempt to reclaim the round level of 157.00. Subsequent upward movement could lift spot prices further to an intermediate barrier at 157.50, paving the way toward the 158.00 level and eventually the multi-month high reached last week.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $10000 more!
    In January we raffle $10000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback