Top.Mail.Ru
empty
27.01.2025 01:07 PM
Forecast for EUR/USD on January 27, 2025

On Friday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement, consolidating above the 100.0% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.0437 and testing the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.0507. A rebound from this level worked in favor of the U.S. dollar, leading to a decline toward the 1.0437 level. The upward trend channel confirms the bullish sentiment in the market.

This image is no longer relevant

The situation with the waves remains clear. The last completed downward wave broke the low of the previous wave, while the latest upward wave (still incomplete) has surpassed the previous two peaks. This confirms the completion of the bearish trend. A new downward wave could soon begin forming, but for the bears to establish a new trend, the price needs to return to the 1.0179 level or form a more complex wave structure that takes control.

The information flow on Friday was favorable for the bulls but not outstanding. I believe bullish traders exceeded expectations for both Friday and the entire past week. The euro appreciated too significantly, considering the informational backdrop, which was mostly absent on most days. By information background, I mean economic data. However, it's possible the market was trading "on Trump." If so, trader sentiment will soon depend on this factor.

On Friday, Germany's business activity indices delivered better-than-expected results, as did those for the Eurozone. U.S. indices were also decent but fell short of their European counterparts. Additionally, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in weaker than traders expected. While the dollar's decline was justified, it was overly strong.

This week will be pivotal, with the ECB and Federal Reserve meetings on the agenda. ECB President Christine Lagarde will deliver speeches almost daily, and news from Donald Trump will likely continue to flood in. Thus, there will be ample news, and its influence on trader sentiment will be significant.

This image is no longer relevant

4-Hour Chart Analysis:

On the 4-hour chart, the pair consolidated above the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.0436. This suggests that the upward movement could continue toward the next Fibonacci level of 100.0% at 1.0603. The euro has also broken above the downward trend channel, indicating a gradual shift to a bullish trend. However, how long this bullish trend will last remains unclear. A bearish divergence on the CCI indicator signals a potential decline in the near term.

Commitments of Traders (COT) Report:

This image is no longer relevant

In the latest reporting week, professional players opened 4,905 long positions and 6,994 short positions. The sentiment of the "Non-commercial" group remains bearish, suggesting a potential continuation of the pair's decline. The total number of long positions held by speculators now stands at 167,000, while short positions amount to 230,000.

For 18 consecutive weeks, major players have been selling the euro. This signifies a bearish trend without exception. While bulls occasionally dominate for individual weeks, these instances are exceptions rather than the rule. The key driver of the dollar's weakness—expectations of monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve—has already been priced in. Unless new reasons to sell the dollar emerge, the U.S. currency's recovery remains more likely.

News Calendar for the U.S. and Eurozone:

  • Eurozone: ECB President Christine Lagarde's Speech (15:35 UTC).

On January 27, the economic calendar contains just one notable event, but it is significant enough to moderately impact market sentiment.

EUR/USD Forecast and Recommendations for Traders:

  • Sales: Selling the pair is advisable after consolidation below the upward trend channel on the hourly chart.
  • Purchases: Buying opportunities were available after a rebound from the 1.0336–1.0346 zone, targeting 1.0435–1.0448, and this target has already been reached. New buying opportunities arise upon a bounce from the 1.0437 level on the hourly chart, targeting 1.0507.

Fibonacci levels are plotted from 1.0437–1.0179 on the hourly chart and from 1.0603–1.1214 on the 4-hour chart.

Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Bitcoin – Tinjauan Analisis Teknikal

Hari Jumaat tiba, dan Bitcoin masih dalam keadaan menunggu. Sama ada pembeli mahupun penjual belum membuat langkah yang menentukan, yang menyebabkan ketidakpastian berterusan dalam pasaran. Tahap-tahap utama kekal tidak berubah

Evangelos Poulakis 08:09 2025-02-14 UTC+2

Ramalan EUR/USD untuk 14 Februari 2025

Pada akhir sesi dagangan semalam, euro telah meningkat sebanyak 83 pip, mengesahkan pergerakannya dalam senario alternatif. Walau bagaimanapun, kenaikan ini mungkin tidak berpanjangan, kerana ia didorong oleh faktor yang sama

Laurie Bailey 04:04 2025-02-14 UTC+2

Ramalan GBP/USD untuk 14 Februari 2025

Semalam, pound British naik sebanyak 120 pip, menunjukkan peningkatan yang ketara dalam selera risiko merentasi pasaran saham, mata wang, dan logam. Pada masa yang sama, hasil Perbendaharaan AS sedang menurun

Laurie Bailey 04:01 2025-02-14 UTC+2

Ramalan USD/JPY untuk 14 Februari 2025

USD/JPY Yen mengalami lebihan dalam pembetulannya, mencapai paras sasaran 154.56 dan mencatat pergerakan sebanyak 193 pip dalam sehari pada hari Rabu. Namun, menjelang pagi Khamis, keuntungan ini telah sepenuhnya terhapus

Laurie Bailey 04:01 2025-02-14 UTC+2

Ramalan Perak untuk 14 Februari 2025

Perak (XAG/USD) memulakan sesi dagangan hari Jumaat ini berhampiran paras 32.280, menandakan potensi pertumbuhan selanjutnya ke arah sasaran terdekat pada 32.905, iaitu paras tertinggi sejak 4 Oktober 2024. Sasaran seterusnya

Laurie Bailey 04:01 2025-02-14 UTC+2

Ramalan EUR/USD untuk 13 Februari 2025

Data inflasi AS mengatasi jangkaan pasaran. Indeks Harga Pengguna Teras (Core CPI) meningkat daripada 3.2% tahun ke tahun (YoY) kepada 3.3% YoY, bertentangan dengan unjuran penurunan kepada 3.1%

Laurie Bailey 06:41 2025-02-13 UTC+2

Ramalan GBP/USD untuk 13 Februari, 2025

Semalam, pound British didagangkan dalam julat lebih daripada 100 pip, menutup hari hampir pada paras pembukaan. Garisan MACD pada carta masa harian bertindak sebagai sokongan, menyebabkan harga melantun semula

Laurie Bailey 06:36 2025-02-13 UTC+2

Analisis Teknikal Pergerakan Harga Harian Indeks Nasdaq 100, Khamis 13 Februari 2025.

Walaupun pada carta harian, Indeks Nasdaq 100 (#NDX) masih menunjukkan pergerakan menaik, yang disahkan oleh kedudukannya dalam saluran Pitchfork Menaik, berada di atas WMA (30 Shift 2) dengan kecenderungan menaik

Arief Makmur 06:05 2025-02-13 UTC+2

Analisis Teknikal Pergerakan Harga Pasangan Mata Wang Bersilang GBP/CHF, Khamis 13 Februari 2025.

Jika diperhatikan pada carta 4 jam pasangan silang GBP/CHF, pergerakan harga masih berada di atas WMA (30 Shift 2) yang mempunyai kecenderungan menaik. Ini menunjukkan bahawa keadaan masih dikuasai oleh

Arief Makmur 06:05 2025-02-13 UTC+2

EUR/USD dan GBP/USD 13 Februari – Analisis Teknikal Situasi

Sepanjang hari yang lalu, harga ditutup di bawah paras rintangan yang diuji iaitu 1.0398-1.0385. Hari ini, terdapat satu lagi cubaan untuk memecah ke dalam awan Ichimoku harian. Pengukuhan yang disahkan

Evangelos Poulakis 06:05 2025-02-13 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.